Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.001231 1.386788e-03 0.001544 0.001713 0.001889 0.002067 0.002260
2025-08-03 0.001010 1.235587e-03 0.001470 0.001729 0.002007 0.002292 0.002607
2025-08-10 0.000775 1.044698e-03 0.001334 0.001663 0.002023 0.002400 0.002822
2025-08-17 0.000612 9.136640e-04 0.001249 0.001641 0.002077 0.002541 0.003067
2025-08-24 0.000442 7.557713e-04 0.001121 0.001559 0.002057 0.002595 0.003213
2025-08-31 0.000339 6.652330e-04 0.001061 0.001547 0.002109 0.002724 0.003436
2025-09-07 0.000269 6.068869e-04 0.001033 0.001568 0.002194 0.002886 0.003693
2025-09-14 0.000188 5.196245e-04 0.000962 0.001532 0.002210 0.002968 0.003857
2025-09-21 0.000144 4.796234e-04 0.000946 0.001559 0.002297 0.003127 0.004105
2025-09-28 0.000121 4.660942e-04 0.000962 0.001624 0.002426 0.003332 0.004405
2025-10-05 0.000082 4.183772e-04 0.000929 0.001624 0.002478 0.003447 0.004601
2025-10-12 0.000059 3.922153e-04 0.000923 0.001657 0.002565 0.003603 0.004841
2025-10-19 0.000034 3.615841e-04 0.000923 0.001716 0.002709 0.003850 0.005218
2025-10-26 0.000007 3.012661e-04 0.000875 0.001713 0.002778 0.004014 0.005503
2025-11-02 NaN 2.141142e-04 0.000774 0.001635 0.002753 0.004067 0.005663
2025-11-09 NaN 1.582948e-04 0.000712 0.001605 0.002786 0.004186 0.005897
2025-11-16 NaN 9.332006e-05 0.000615 0.001519 0.002744 0.004214 0.006025
2025-11-23 NaN 6.113548e-05 0.000571 0.001504 0.002790 0.004346 0.006271
2025-11-30 NaN 4.264318e-05 0.000551 0.001522 0.002877 0.004526 0.006573
2025-12-07 NaN 1.839802e-05 0.000498 0.001485 0.002890 0.004614 0.006766
2025-12-14 NaN 9.812171e-06 0.000486 0.001511 0.002985 0.004801 0.007074
2025-12-21 NaN 7.232406e-06 0.000498 0.001575 0.003128 0.005047 0.007450
2025-12-28 NaN 9.682920e-07 0.000472 0.001575 0.003187 0.005188 0.007702